Copyright

C. E. Richards; R. C. Lupton; J. M. Allwood

Published On

2024-09-03

Page Range

pp. 371–400

Language

  • English

Print Length

30 pages

13. Re-Framing the Threat of Global Warming

An Empirical Causal Loop Diagram of Climate Change, Food Insecurity and Societal Collapse

Chapter of: An Anthology of Global Risk(pp. 371–400)
Using a systems dynamic approach, this chapter suggests that a Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) can be utilised as a means to build an evidence base of the relationships between climate change, food insecurity, and societal collapse. Reviewing relevant literature, the authors define a set of primary and secondary determinants of societal collapse, establishing an empirical evidence base which then allows for the authors to construct a CLD to illustrate the identified causal relationships. This chapter helps to develop readers’ understandings of the existential threat of climate change, and the causal pathways through which it may pose a risk to humanity, therefore bettering possible risk management and future prevention methods.

Contributors

Catherine Richards

(author)

Catherine Richards is a Consultant working at McKinsey & Co.

Richard Lupton

(author)
Senior Lecturer in the Department of Mechanical Engineering, Centre for Sustainable and Circular Technologies (CSCT) at University of Bath

Richard Lupton is a Senior Lecturer in the Department of Mechanical Engineering, Centre for Sustainable and Circular Technologies (CSCT), University of Bath.

Julian Allwood

(author)
Professor of Engineering and the Environment at University of Cambridge

Julian Allwood is a Professor of Engineering and the Environment at the University of Cambridge.