3. Classifying Global Catastrophic Risk

Identifying a lack of satisfactory methodologies for classifying Global Catastrophic Risk (GCR) scenarios, this chapter proposes a new classification framework which draws together multiple areas of knowledge. The suggested framework categorises GCR scenarios according to the critical systems affected, the mechanism by which the thread is spread globally, and prevention and mitigation failure. To achieve such a classification system, all three areas must be fully explored using interdisciplinary research and a variety of scientific disciplines. As suggested by the authors, this would result in the prioritisation of risk reduction efforts, the creation of a live reference list of expertise for different GCR scenarios, and the growth of research in areas that would be otherwise neglected. The methodology put forward in this chapter becomes important in terms of foresight as its ability to map and track allows for the prediction of a preparation for GCR scenarios.